GoT Season 8: Who will survive? Scientists join in the quest


Perhaps its occurring first time in the history of television that the finale episode is now being guessed by scientists and yes its true in every word!

As per the recent study by scientists, staying loyal till the end are the cause of early deaths of the lead characters in the popular show Game of Thrones, who analyzed over 300 deaths in the show to decode who is more likely to survive the next season. This research paper, published in the journal Injury Epidemiology, reveals that the characters in the show  were more likely to survive if they switched their allegiances.

For example, Tyrion Lannister avoids death by switching allegiances between the houses Lannister and Targaryen.


Researchers at Macquarie University in Australia, did a close analysis of all deaths of all important Game of Thrones characters across seven seasons of the show. The risk of death was also greater for characters that were ‘lowborn’ (not a Lord or Lady), compared to those that were ‘highborn’.

To this, Reidar Lystad, injury epidemiologist at the Australian Institute of Health Innovation, added that, “The risk of death is high among characters in Game of Thrones. By the end of the seventh season, more than half of the characters had died — 186 out of the 330 characters we included in this study — with violent deaths being the most common by far. While these findings may not be surprising for regular viewers, we have identified several factors that may be associated with better or worse survival, which may help us to speculate about who will prevail in the final season”.


Researchers found that the majority of deaths occurred in Westeros (80.1%), and the most common place of death was in the home.

Again, the most common causes of death were injuries (73.7%), and particularly wounds of the head and neck, including 13 decapitations.

Only two deaths till now had been caused by natural causes occurred across the seven seasons of the show. Like, Maester Aemon and Old Nan, who both died of old age. The remainder of deaths were from burns (11.8%) or poisonings (4.8%). The most common circumstances of deaths were assault (63%), operations of war (24.4%), and legal executions (5.4%).


The probability of dying within the first hour after first appearing on screen was around 14%. There the survival time of characters ranged from 11 seconds to 57 hours and 15 minutes. The median survival time was estimated to be 28 hours and 48 minutes.

The researchers collected data on mortality and survival of 330 characters from all 67 episodes from seasons one to seven of Game of Thrones.

They recorded the data based on the social- demographic status of the characters, including their sex, social status, type of occupation, religious affiliation, and allegiance, alongside their survival time, and the circumstances of their death.


To conclude, violence prevention clearly isn’t a priority in Game of Thrones, for whoever finally wins the seat of the Seven Kingdoms, there’s plenty of scope for improvement.

Then in the end again, as the citizens of Essos know well, valar morghulis, i.e. all men must die!!